Published October 11, 2026 in Market Update

Back Bay prices held up, even with fewer sales

By Eric Rollo
Real estate, Back Bay

Here is the one thing that matters most for Back Bay homeowners right now. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 88 homes sold in ZIP 02116 in the three months ending August 31, 2026, down 16.2% from the same period a year before. Fewer sales, yes. But the median sale price still climbed to $1,450,000, up 5.1%. Prices held, even with less activity.

Median sale price, Back Bay, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

For context, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 2.6% year over year through July 2026. Back Bay's 5.1% gain nearly doubled that national pace. That is a real gap, and it matters if you own here.

Back Bay at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold
Down 16.2% year over year
Median sale price
Up 5.1% year over year
Median days on market
Unchanged from a year before
Sale to list price
Up 1.8 points year over year
Months of supply
Up 0.8 months year over year
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Fewer closings, but sellers still got close to asking

The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows the average sale price came in at 99.2% of list price, up 1.8 points from a year before. That means sellers gave up very little. About 21.6% of homes sold above list price, a small tick up from last year. Homes that moved did so in a median of 26 days, exactly the same as the year before.

How Back Bay compares to the U.S., price growth year over year
Back Bay (Real EstateData Aggregator)5.1%U.S. (Federal HousingFinance Agency)2.6%
Back Bay's median sale price rose 5.1% year over year. The Federal Housing Finance Agency put the U.S. gain at 2.6% through July 2026.

More homes came to market, and buyers are still moving

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 113 new listings in Back Bay over those three months, up 15.3% from a year before. There were 116 homes for sale in total, up 6.4%. Supply is a little looser than it was. Still, pending sales came in at 81, up 3.8% year over year. Buyers are still showing up.

One thing working against buyers right now: rates

CNBC reported the average 30-year fixed rate for conforming loans hit 7.49% as of October 7, 2026. Realtor.com noted rates topped 7% for the first time since January 2025, rising nearly 40 basis points over four weeks. That adds real cost to any purchase. It likely explains some of the drop in closings, here and nationally.

Average 30-year fixed rate, conforming loans, week of October 7, 2026 (CNBC)
Source: CNBC, Oct 7, 2026

Realtor.com also reported homes under contract nationally were down 4.1% year over year in September 2026. Back Bay's pending sales actually rose 3.8% over the same stretch, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That is a meaningful difference from the national trend.

The quick-contract number is worth watching

The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 28.4% of Back Bay homes went under contract within two weeks of listing, up 0.2 points from a year ago. Nearly 3 in 10 homes found a buyer fast. That is not every home, but it tells you well-priced properties still move quickly.

Share of Back Bay homes under contract within two weeks of listing (Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026)
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
In short
  1. Back Bay prices rose 5.1% year over year, well ahead of the 2.6% national pace reported by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
  2. Fewer homes closed, supply nudged up, and rates are above 7%.
  3. But sellers still got 99.2% of list price on average, and pending sales actually grew.
  4. The market slowed a little.
  5. It did not weaken.

One more thing: the ZIP code numbers tell the broad story. One block, or one building, can read very differently. If you want to know what the data says about your specific address, just reach out.

Your next step

(508) 789-8830

Text me your address and I will send back what your Back Bay home is worth against what actually sold near you in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

Text me
Where these numbers came from
Eric Rollo
The Agency · (508) 789-8830
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Eric Rollo is a licensed real estate agent with The Agency. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Eric Rollo · The AgencyEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY